Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 899.925178 1021.684120 1158.615116 1324.949365 1522.786143 1752.123236 2040.362222
2025-03-30 692.650487 842.923951 1027.866519 1275.697706 1604.512360 2033.725654 2649.959584
2025-04-06 586.861869 744.112131 948.413857 1239.407481 1653.642933 2239.127572 3162.086389
2025-04-13 508.494427 665.273023 877.662093 1195.107142 1673.507646 2396.048126 3630.874173
2025-04-20 473.568163 638.219993 870.366367 1234.014451 1814.066323 2751.616781 4496.820243
2025-04-27 438.292177 605.361312 848.912493 1245.966718 1911.325110 3053.726487 5354.287300
2025-05-04 411.114136 580.609405 835.353961 1266.343800 2023.071199 3400.618915 6401.613276
2025-05-11 386.618188 556.928337 819.987064 1280.285947 2124.092969 3747.448767 7565.579759
2025-05-18 372.176868 546.996508 824.661263 1327.762198 2292.908914 4263.617591 9311.217120
2025-05-25 354.193029 529.532437 814.758072 1347.439830 2411.136587 4702.878658 11058.049188
2025-06-01 334.403740 507.280230 794.321607 1344.654039 2483.063932 5056.868522 12738.480975
2025-06-08 316.188243 486.067431 773.486374 1338.118723 2545.470383 5403.920509 14575.171229
2025-06-15 303.296798 473.565463 768.091921 1363.688879 2689.227563 6010.710714 17694.361782
2025-06-22 281.631322 444.433343 730.351492 1320.253175 2670.482838 6193.887942 19457.982883
2025-06-29 262.830209 418.865178 696.794120 1281.091429 2654.514344 6380.984840 21381.587548
2025-07-06 244.953606 393.704585 661.917695 1235.107454 2614.322849 6489.151931 23073.928989
2025-07-13 239.202749 389.850171 667.004104 1275.645134 2798.918699 7341.348535 29012.770532
2025-07-20 230.612207 380.151009 659.851689 1288.118328 2913.425128 8014.925729 34835.879373
2025-07-27 223.608074 372.865909 656.762997 1309.374879 3056.621441 8846.431236 42721.354505
2025-08-03 216.402690 364.683581 651.124066 1323.921958 3184.509177 9680.337885 51992.048941
2025-08-10 212.999274 363.485480 659.613347 1373.471023 3427.346318 11081.698111 68476.154398
2025-08-17 207.089422 357.011277 656.498924 1394.013854 3587.044409 12227.217702 85727.922011
2025-08-24 199.544168 346.842290 644.701298 1391.105362 3671.897118 13089.231720 102641.577982